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Will the mediation between Egypt and Haftar succeed?

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LIBYAPROSPECT – Editorial

Some regional and international states try to mediate for the Dignity Operation commander, General Khalifa Haftar, to end his tensions with Egypt.

The relations between both parties got tense, as reflected by statements made by the Egyptian Chief of Staff, the head of the National Committee for Libya, Mahmoud Hegazy, criticising Haftar for violations committed by his forces in Benghazi.

Egyptian sources unveiled mediation efforts by international and regional pro-Haftar states, to end the tensions with Cairo.  Sources said that “no outcomes resulted until now, as tensions surfaced for the first times last February when Haftar refused to meet the head of the Presidential Council (PC) of the Government of National Accord (GNA), Fayez Al-Sarraj.” The mediation efforts are not carried by any Libyan party, like the head of the House of Representatives (HoR), Ageela Saleh, who is acquiesced to Haftar’s orders.

Sources also pointed that Egypt’s position towards Libya is Vogue, will be defined after reviewing the Libyan situation before the United States President, Donald Trump, it is unlikely to let it go with Haftar, for the absence of a reliable alternative.

“The situation inside Libya is unstable, which complicates any negotiation efforts, Haftar is weaker than ever, which Cairo previously feared, add to that the need to guarantee Haftar’s commitment to the Egyptian vision, avoid any embarrassment,” said the same sources.

They added that “Haftar visiting Cairo soon is unlikely, but broker may succeed and positions might change.” Sources referred to one condition Cairo has made, which is for Haftar to control forces under his command.

Military experts see the situation inside Libya requires intensive efforts to end disputes, to not allow armed militias to prevail on the expense of Libyan national army.

Military decisive victory is not easy as some imagine, for the proliferation of arms, support of outside countries. Thus, negotiations and discussions are the only way out.