By: Omar Elkeddi*
The head of the UN Support Mission in Libya, Martin Kobler,
suggests the formation of three different armies to solve the “army dilemma,” an army that has been non-existent since defeating Chad. The “Abu-Bakr” faction is the only remaining army, most of the commanders decided to leave to pursue a more financially secure profession, especially after finding themselves jobless in the city of Hun.
According to Kobler, the formation of three armies would technically cancel Article 8 of the Political Agreement, a very controversial article among the Libyans and the Presidential Council (PC).
In his last meeting with the PC member, Ali Al-Gatrani, in Cairo, Al-Gatrani demanded that all decisions made in his absence should be dismissed, as well as the removal of El-Mahdi El-Barghathi from his position as Defense Minister until he returns to the PC, and lastly the elimination of Article 8 from the Political Agreement.
Kobler must have looked at Al-Gatrani in shock, feeling as if he was drowning in quicksand, this mission is different to that of his in Afghanistan where he succeeded, Libya is a nation that thrives when it comes to divisions and disputes unless tyrants rule them.
Kobler looks at Libya and realizes it is already divided, there is the Government of National Accord (GNA) in Tripoli, the Interim Government in Al-Baida, and sometimes the village of Lali near Al-Gayqab in eat Libya, not forgetting the “Inqath” government lead by Khalifa Al-Ghuweil who protested against the GNA for moving their headquarters to “Tareeq Al-Sikka” in Tripoli, in addition to the House of Representatives (HoR) in Tobruk and the State Council in Tripoli. Consequently, Kobler wonders why we should not create three different militaries for three different nations/Confederate States.
This could be a dangerous idea, especially if the armies don’t fall under the same command. In all the major countries there is various armies and militaries. However, they are all controlled by one control center. It is possible to form three armies but due to the timing, it would be tough to unite them under the same governance.
Haftar Is very keen on keeping his position, his supporters insist on following him even if Benghazi seizes to exist. Haftar’s opponents would prefer a civil war to him remaining in power; Benghazi Brigades’ advancements are set to trigger this war.
In the East militias have all disappeared apart for the ones in Al-Sabri neighbourhood, and the fish market, Haftar’s army can only be described as professionally organized, a mixture of ex-soldiers and militias, a melting pot, dangerously fighting for money with an allegiance to Haftar only and no recognition of any legislative and executive authority.
It is not secret that the head of the HoR, Ageela Saleh, and the Prime Minister of the Interim Government, Abdullah Al-Thinni, are both puppets manipulated by Haftar. There is no army in the West, only militias following their commander’s orders and no other authority, forming an army out of these militias would pave the way for an oppressive military capable of a coup.
The defeat of the Islamic State (IS) in Sirte will certainly complicate matters even more; Haftar and his colleagues will lose their “fight against terror” card to Misrata’s Al-Bunyan Al-Marsous, who suffered 241 casualties and over 1400 injuries in the past two months.
Libya’s political and military map will be revisited; a more youthful leadership could very well be capable of forming a professional, unified army. If we are not able to form one army, how are we going to create three? Kobler must have stood under the sun for long and started to hallucinate.
*A Libyan Writer
Translated By LIBYAPROSPECT: Source