By: Atia S. Lawgali*
The foreign intervention in Libya has been the elephant in the
room and the core of talks in Libya lately; opinions vary among acceptance and rejection according to political stances, which is normal. Intervention isn’t that easy, it is risky and in several previous international experiences; it either complicates situations or be a successful approach.
In this approach it is worth mentioning that Libyans are fed up with armed conflicts. If armed conflicts continue, intervention may have larger crowds who can be used by local, regional or international forces to intervene to serve its own interests. Rival parties should be aware that fighting will only open the door of intervention, in addition to dangerous consequences to the country’s future, sovereignty and unity.
We should all be aware that, countries don’t intervene for explicit humanitarian reasons; they aren’t charities, they aren’t moved by people’s tragedies or massacres (Gaza, Syria, Iraq, Rwanda, etc.). Countries only intervene for their interests.
It isn’t possible that America or a European country would throw its soldiers in our deserts, why would they endanger them to abduction or death? What would they gain; Libya may even by another drowning swamp for their forces. If intervention is to happen, it will be planned by west countries but under the flag of the Arab League or the African Union or both. Which means Egyptian forces entering east of Libya, may be Algerian-Tunisian in the west, and African forces in the south. You are free to imagine the consequences.
The intervention will be successful if it was permitted by all or most political forces, had clear goals, and its forces have no agenda. It won’t succeed unless it is favored by most Libyan national. It will fail if it intended to support certain team as forces will turn into a party in the war, recalling other regional parties and making Libya a scene for international wars. Libyans, then, will have no control over the path that fight will take or even to end.
Wisdom has that neighboring countries shouldn’t be taking part in such intervention given its ambitions and fear of being absorbed in a long bloody conflict.
In my opinion, the most successful intervention is what comes on the ground of full agreement amongst Libyans in addition to roles of the United Nations and unbiased countries. It should have clear goals and time table, for example; supervising the cease-fire, disarmament, and helping building the army and police forces.
Intervention isn’t an easy discussion that can be judged immediately, it needs deep discussions, wisdom and a good decision in order not to turn into a poison rather than medicine. But the continuous fight will weaken the arguments of anti-intervention and may put the country into vague expensive adventure that won’t be in anybody’s good; but is there anybody to listen?
*A Libyan Writer
Translated By LIBYAPROSPECT: Source